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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU AUG 16 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SUN AUG 19 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
14.5N 64.0W 47 3 X X 50 MDCB 176N 714W X 1 24 1 26
15.0N 68.0W X 33 3 X 36 MTPP 186N 724W X X 16 6 22
16.0N 72.0W X 1 25 1 27 MTCA 183N 738W X X 11 11 22
SKPG 125N 717W X X 6 1 7 MKJP 179N 768W X X 1 19 20
TNCC 122N 690W X 5 3 X 8 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 18 18
TGPY 120N 618W 6 X X X 6 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 8 8
TBPB 131N 595W 55 X X X 55 MUGM 200N 751W X X 1 16 17
TVSV 131N 612W 40 X X X 40 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 11 11
TLPL 138N 610W 64 X X X 64 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 5 5
TFFF 146N 610W 67 X X X 67 MUSN 216N 826W X X X 3 3
TDPR 153N 614W 57 X X X 57 TJSJ 184N 661W X 12 2 X 14
TFFR 163N 615W 25 1 X X 26 MDPP 198N 707W X X 10 3 13
TAPA 171N 618W 10 X X X 10 MBJT 215N 712W X X 2 3 5
TKPK 173N 627W 11 2 X X 13 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 4 4
TNCM 181N 631W 3 2 X X 5 MYEG 235N 758W X X X 3 3
TISX 177N 648W 4 14 X X 18 ST CROIX VI 4 14 X X 18
TIST 183N 650W 1 9 1 X 11 ST THOMAS VI 1 9 1 X 11
TJPS 180N 666W X 18 3 X 21 SAN JUAN PR X 12 2 X 14
MDSD 185N 697W X 3 18 X 21 PONCE PR X 18 3 X 21
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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