HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED AUG 15 2001
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT AUG 18 2001
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.0N  54.0W      50  2  X  X 52   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  7 12 19
13.5N  57.5W       1 34  1  X 36   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  3 13 16
14.0N  61.0W       X  3 24  1 28   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1 17 18
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  4  4   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X 16 16
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  2  6  8   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 17 17
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  5  2  7   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X 10 10
TTPT 112N 608W     X  1  9  2 12   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  6  6
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X 13  3 16   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  3  3
TBPB 131N 595W     X 15 13  1 29   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 16 16
TVSV 131N 612W     X  2 21  1 24   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  5  5
TLPL 138N 610W     X  3 24  X 27   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1 17 18
TFFF 146N 610W     X  3 24  1 28   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X 16 16
TDPR 153N 614W     X  1 23  3 27   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 16 16
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X 19  4 23   PONCE PR           X  X  X 17 17
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X 12  8 20
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN