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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN AUG 05 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT WED AUG 8 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.1N 86.7W 38 X X X 38 PENSACOLA FL 39 X X X 39
32.4N 87.4W 23 2 X 1 26 MOBILE AL 21 1 X 1 23
33.3N 88.1W 14 5 1 1 21 GULFPORT MS 11 3 1 2 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 2 3 BURAS LA 4 3 2 2 11
JACKSONVILLE FL X 1 2 2 5 NEW ORLEANS LA 2 4 2 3 11
SAVANNAH GA X X 1 3 4 NEW IBERIA LA X 1 2 4 7
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3
VENICE FL X 1 X 1 2 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
TAMPA FL X 1 1 2 4 GULF 29N 85W 40 X X X 40
CEDAR KEY FL 3 2 1 2 8 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99
ST MARKS FL 16 1 1 X 18 GULF 28N 89W 2 2 1 2 7
APALACHICOLA FL 35 X X X 35 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 3 4
PANAMA CITY FL 48 X X X 48 GULF 28N 93W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON
C FROM 7PM MON TO 7AM TUE
D FROM 7AM TUE TO 7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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