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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT AUG 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT TUE AUG 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.0N 87.3W 52 X X X 52 MOBILE AL 23 9 1 X 33
31.0N 87.3W 23 11 X X 34 GULFPORT MS 18 9 1 X 28
33.0N 88.0W 1 20 3 1 25 BURAS LA 21 3 1 X 25
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3 NEW ORLEANS LA 7 9 2 1 19
SAVANNAH GA X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X 3 4 3 10
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 1 3 4
TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
CEDAR KEY FL X 1 1 2 4 GULF 29N 85W 15 2 1 X 18
ST MARKS FL 4 7 1 1 13 GULF 29N 87W 50 X X X 50
APALACHICOLA FL 14 4 1 X 19 GULF 28N 89W 35 X 1 X 36
PANAMA CITY FL 22 3 X 1 26 GULF 28N 91W 3 5 1 1 10
PENSACOLA FL 32 4 X X 36 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 2 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
C FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
D FROM 1PM MON TO 1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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