ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT AUG 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT TUE AUG 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
28.0N 88.5W 52 X X X 52 BURAS LA 26 2 1 1 30
29.0N 88.5W 34 X 1 X 35 NEW ORLEANS LA 16 7 2 1 26
30.5N 88.8W 15 7 4 1 27 NEW IBERIA LA 4 8 4 3 19
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X 1 2 7 10
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X X 1 5 6
SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X X X 5 5
VENICE FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 3 3
TAMPA FL X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W 2 2 4 3 11
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 5 5 GULF 29N 87W 21 2 1 1 25
ST MARKS FL X X 2 6 8 GULF 28N 89W 44 1 X X 45
APALACHICOLA FL 1 1 5 4 11 GULF 28N 91W 13 4 2 1 20
PANAMA CITY FL 2 3 5 4 14 GULF 28N 93W X 2 2 5 9
PENSACOLA FL 7 6 6 2 21 GULF 28N 95W X X X 4 4
MOBILE AL 11 8 4 2 25 GULF 27N 96W X X X 2 2
GULFPORT MS 16 8 2 1 27
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
C FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
D FROM 7AM MON TO 7AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}