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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT AUG 04 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT TUE AUG 7 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.3N 88.8W 99 X X X 99 BURAS LA 16 4 3 1 24
28.0N 89.0W 40 1 X X 41 NEW ORLEANS LA 9 8 3 3 23
29.0N 89.5W 22 2 2 1 27 NEW IBERIA LA 3 9 5 3 20
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X 3 6 5 14
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X 1 4 6 11
SAVANNAH GA X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X X 2 6 8
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 4 5
FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 3 3
VENICE FL X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W 1 1 3 6 11
TAMPA FL X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 87W 15 2 2 2 21
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 40 1 X X 41
ST MARKS FL X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 91W 17 4 2 1 24
APALACHICOLA FL X 1 3 6 10 GULF 28N 93W 2 5 4 4 15
PANAMA CITY FL X 2 3 7 12 GULF 28N 95W X X 2 6 8
PENSACOLA FL 2 4 5 5 16 GULF 27N 96W X X X 4 4
MOBILE AL 3 6 5 4 18 GULF 25N 96W X X X 2 2
GULFPORT MS 6 7 5 3 21
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM SUN TO 1PM SUN
C FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
D FROM 1AM MON TO 1AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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