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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT FRI AUG 03 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT MON AUG 6 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.3N 88.8W 53 X X X 53 NEW IBERIA LA 1 10 5 4 20
27.5N 89.6W 33 1 X 1 35 PORT ARTHUR TX X 4 7 5 16
27.8N 90.4W 22 3 1 1 27 GALVESTON TX X 3 6 6 15
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X 2 5 6 13
FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 4 6 10
VENICE FL X X 1 2 3 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 5 6
TAMPA FL X X X 3 3 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 4 4
CEDAR KEY FL X X 1 3 4 GULF 29N 85W 2 2 2 4 10
ST MARKS FL X X 1 5 6 GULF 29N 87W 15 2 1 2 20
APALACHICOLA FL 1 1 2 5 9 GULF 28N 89W 37 X X 1 38
PANAMA CITY FL 1 2 2 5 10 GULF 28N 91W 16 6 2 1 25
PENSACOLA FL 2 3 3 5 13 GULF 28N 93W 2 10 4 3 19
MOBILE AL 2 4 4 5 15 GULF 28N 95W X 3 5 5 13
GULFPORT MS 3 6 5 4 18 GULF 27N 96W X X 3 5 8
BURAS LA 12 5 3 2 22 GULF 25N 96W X X X 4 4
NEW ORLEANS LA 4 9 4 3 20
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM SAT TO 1AM SUN
C FROM 1AM SUN TO 1PM SUN
D FROM 1PM SUN TO 1PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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