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TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI AUG 03 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT MON AUG 6 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.3N 88.2W 57 X X X 57 NEW ORLEANS LA 6 8 4 3 21
27.5N 89.0W 36 X X X 36 NEW IBERIA LA 2 9 5 4 20
27.8N 90.0W 22 2 2 1 27 PORT ARTHUR TX X 4 6 5 15
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 2 2 GALVESTON TX X 2 6 6 14
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X 1 5 6 12
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 2 6 8
FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 4 5
VENICE FL X 1 X 2 3 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 4 4
TAMPA FL X 1 X 3 4 GULF 29N 85W 4 3 2 3 12
CEDAR KEY FL X 1 X 4 5 GULF 29N 87W 15 3 2 1 21
ST MARKS FL X 1 1 5 7 GULF 28N 89W 31 1 X 1 33
APALACHICOLA FL 2 2 2 4 10 GULF 28N 91W 14 5 3 2 24
PANAMA CITY FL 2 3 3 4 12 GULF 28N 93W 2 7 5 4 18
PENSACOLA FL 3 5 3 4 15 GULF 28N 95W X 2 4 6 12
MOBILE AL 3 6 4 4 17 GULF 27N 96W X X 2 6 8
GULFPORT MS 5 7 4 3 19 GULF 25N 96W X X X 5 5
BURAS LA 13 6 2 2 23
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM SAT TO 1PM SAT
C FROM 1PM SAT TO 1AM SUN
D FROM 1AM SUN TO 1AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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