ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM BARRY PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU AUG 02 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SUN AUG 5 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.2N 86.3W 47 X X X 47 MOBILE AL 1 9 4 3 17
27.6N 87.5W 26 1 1 1 29 GULFPORT MS 2 10 5 2 19
27.8N 88.8W 14 8 2 1 25 BURAS LA 4 13 3 2 22
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 NEW ORLEANS LA 1 11 5 3 20
MUAN 219N 850W X X X 2 2 NEW IBERIA LA X 5 8 4 17
MMMD 210N 897W X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 5 7 12
MARATHON FL X X 1 1 2 GALVESTON TX X X 3 8 11
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 FREEPORT TX X X 1 8 9
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 7 7
KEY WEST FL X 1 1 1 3 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 4 4
MARCO ISLAND FL 1 2 X 2 5 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 3 3
FT MYERS FL 2 2 X 2 6 GULF 29N 85W 13 3 1 1 18
VENICE FL 6 1 1 1 9 GULF 29N 87W 16 5 2 1 24
TAMPA FL 4 1 1 2 8 GULF 28N 89W 12 9 2 2 25
CEDAR KEY FL 2 2 1 2 7 GULF 28N 91W 1 9 6 3 19
ST MARKS FL 1 2 2 3 8 GULF 28N 93W X 1 7 6 14
APALACHICOLA FL 6 4 1 3 14 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 8 9
PANAMA CITY FL 5 5 2 2 14 GULF 27N 96W X X X 6 6
PENSACOLA FL 2 8 4 2 16 GULF 25N 96W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}