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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1601
1500Z SAT OCT 20 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 125.8W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 125.8W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 125.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.0N 128.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.3N 130.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 14.1N 133.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 125.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 14.8N 136.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 16.0N 142.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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