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TROPICAL STORM MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1501
0900Z WED OCT 17 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 121.3W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 121.3W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 120.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 21.2N 122.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 22.3N 123.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 23.2N 125.1W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 121.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 24.0N 126.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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