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TROPICAL STORM MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1501
2100Z TUE OCT 16 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 120.0W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 120.0W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 119.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.7N 121.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 20.8N 123.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.9N 125.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 120.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.7N 126.8W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 23.5N 129.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART/BROWN
 
 
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