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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1501
0300Z THU OCT 11 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 102.6W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 102.6W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 102.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 15.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 15.5N 106.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 102.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 16.5N 110.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 16.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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