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TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1301
1500Z THU OCT 04 2001
 
AT 8 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WARNINGS FOR THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 106.9W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 106.9W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 106.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 105.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N 105.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 106.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH/TICHACEK/MOLLEDA
 
 
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