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TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1301
0900Z THU OCT 04 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF
MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO TO MAZATLAN.  THIS WARNING MAY BE
DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 107.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......125NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 107.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 107.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 19.1N 107.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 20.6N 106.4W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 22.0N 105.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 107.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 23.4N 104.9W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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