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TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1301
0300Z THU OCT 04 2001
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO
MAZATLAN.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PUNTA SAN
TELMO TO MAZATLAN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.7W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......125NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 106.7W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 106.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 18.2N 106.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 19.7N 106.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 21.2N 105.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 106.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 22.5N 105.0W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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