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TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1301
2100Z WED OCT 03 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO
MAZATLAN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 106.3W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 106.3W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 106.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 105.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 20.8N 105.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.5N 104.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 106.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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