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TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1301
1500Z WED OCT 03 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO
MAZATLAN.  HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS
AREA LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 106.5W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  75 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   0 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 106.5W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 106.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 18.2N 106.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 21.0N 106.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 105.5W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  75SW  30NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 106.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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