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TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1301
0300Z WED OCT 03 2001
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD
TO MAZATLAN.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 106.2W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 106.2W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 106.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.6N 106.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.0N 107.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.0N 106.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 106.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 25.0N 105.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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