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TROPICAL STORM LORENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1301
1500Z TUE OCT 02 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 104.8W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 104.8W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 104.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 13.5N 105.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.2N 106.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.3N 107.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 104.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 19.5N 107.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.0N 105.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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