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HURRICANE JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1101
0300Z TUE SEP 25 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN MEXICAN COAST AND SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JULIETTE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.0W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT.......180NE 200SE 200SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 105.0W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 104.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 16.3N 105.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.3N 106.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.3N 107.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE 200SW 180NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 105.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 19.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 21.2N 109.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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