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HURRICANE JULIETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1101
1500Z SUN SEP 23 2001
 
AT 8 AM...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO
MANZANILLO.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN MEXICAN COAST AND SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE JULIETTE
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.8W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.8W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 102.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.3N 103.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 104.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 102.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 18.0N 106.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 20.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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