[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1001
1500Z THU SEP 13 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO CABO SAN LAZARO.  THIS
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 113.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 113.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 112.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.4N 114.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 25.3N 115.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 26.0N 117.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 113.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 26.6N 118.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 27.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Problems?