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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1001
0900Z THU SEP 13 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO CABO SAN LAZARO.  THIS
WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 111.6W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 111.6W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 111.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 23.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 24.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 25.8N 117.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 111.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 26.4N 118.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 26.7N 120.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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