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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1001
1500Z WED SEP 12 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO CABO SAN LAZARO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 109.7W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 109.7W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 109.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 21.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.5N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.7N 109.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 25.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 26.0N 119.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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