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TROPICAL STORM IVO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1001
2100Z TUE SEP 11 2001
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING EAST OF MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM
MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 106.3W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 106.3W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 105.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 18.5N 108.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 20.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 106.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 23.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 24.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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