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TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0701
0300Z MON AUG 27 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 112.1W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 112.1W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 111.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.4N 113.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.6N 114.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.8N 115.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 112.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.9N 116.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 21.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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