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TROPICAL STORM DALILA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0501
1500Z SUN JUL 22 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF ACAPULCO TO
PUNTA SAN TELMO.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF
ACAPULCO TO MANZANILLO.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 101.3W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 101.3W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 100.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.0N 103.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.9N 105.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.8N 107.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 101.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 18.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 20.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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