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TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0401
1500Z SUN JUL 22 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 123.8W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 123.8W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 123.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.7N 124.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 100SE 100SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.4N 126.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N 128.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 123.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 21.5N 129.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 22.0N 131.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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