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TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0401
0300Z SUN JUL 22 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 121.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 100SE 100SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 125SE 125SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 121.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 121.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.3N 123.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.0N 125.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 121.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 20.5N 127.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.0N 128.5W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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