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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0401
1500Z SAT JUL 21 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 119.5W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 119.5W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 119.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.5N 120.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.4N 123.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 119.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 19.2N 125.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.0N 126.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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