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TROPICAL STORM COSME FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0301
1500Z FRI JUL 13 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 110.5W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 289 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 110.5W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.8N 112.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 17.6N 114.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.4N 116.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 110.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 19.0N 117.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 20.2N 120.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
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