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HURRICANE NOEL SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1601
1600Z MON NOV 05 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  50.4W AT 05/1600Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
50 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT.......200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 500SE 350SW 275NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  50.4W AT 05/1600Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.8N  50.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 40.0N  50.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 44.0N  51.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 51.0N  50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N  50.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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