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HURRICANE MICHELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
0900Z TUE NOV 06 2001

...CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 75 KT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  71.7W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  18 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
50 KT.......150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 175SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 250SE 250SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  71.7W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  72.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 28.0N  68.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
50 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 175SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.6N  63.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 31.9N  58.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N  71.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 34.5N  54.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 40.0N  44.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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