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HURRICANE MICHELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
1500Z MON NOV 05 2001
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO CRAIG KEY INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...  BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...
CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
COCOA
BEACH SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  77.2W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT.......125NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......150NE 100SE   0SW 150NW.
34 KT.......175NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 180SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  77.2W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  78.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.9N  75.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...125NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW 150NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.0N  72.1W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.0N  68.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  77.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.0N  64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 35.0N  57.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...200NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 200SW 250NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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