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HURRICANE MICHELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1501
0300Z MON NOV 05 2001
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS
FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA
BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA...
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO OCEAN REEF AND ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  THIS INCLUDES GRAND BAHAMA...THE ABACOS...THE
BERRY ISLANDS...  BIMINI...ANDROS...NEW PROVIDENCE...ELEUTHERA...CAT
ISLAND...EXUMAS...SAN SALVADOR...RUM CAY AND LONG ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  80.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT.......150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 250SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  80.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  80.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.2N  78.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...150NE 125SE 125SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.8N  76.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...200NE 125SE 125SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
34 KT...360NE 200SE 200SW 360NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N  80.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 29.0N  68.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...180NE 100SE 100SW 180NW.
34 KT...540NE 300SE 300SW 540NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 35.5N  57.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...180NE 100SE 100SW 180NW.
34 KT...540NE 300SE 300SW 540NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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