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HURRICANE KAREN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1301
1500Z SUN OCT 14 2001
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  63.3W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 100SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 200SE 300SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.5N  63.3W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.1N  63.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 40.5N  62.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 145SE 100SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 42.8N  62.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 45.3N  61.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.5N  63.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 48.0N  58.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 50.0N  52.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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