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HURRICANE IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
2100Z MON OCT 08 2001
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM
CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COASTS OF
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND HONDURAS FROM THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA
EASTWARD TO LIMON.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN FROM FELIPE CARRILLO PUERTO SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH
BELIZE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  86.9W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT.......125NE  50SE  40SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 150SE  75SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  86.9W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  86.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.1N  89.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.7N  92.9W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  86.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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