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HURRICANE IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1101
1500Z MON OCT 08 2001
AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN FROM FELIPE
CARRILLO PUERTO SOUTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH BELIZE.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CARIBBEAN COASTS OF
BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND HONDURAS FROM THE BORDER WITH GUATEMALA
EASTWARD TO LIMON
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MEXICAN EAST COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO THE BELIZE
BORDER.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 84.9W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 17 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT.......100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 75SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 84.9W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 84.0W
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 16.5N 87.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 75SE 50SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.9N 90.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 15.5N 94.0W...OVER PACIFIC WATERS
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 84.9W
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 15.5N 96.5W
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 15.5N 100.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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