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HURRICANE IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
2100Z SAT OCT 06 2001
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO CABO BEATA...AND ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO ANSE
D HAINAULT.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND
FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY. A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN
EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH
COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO BARAHONA HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  73.0W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  25SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  75SE  25SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  73.0W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N  72.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 17.6N  75.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 19.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N  73.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 19.5N  87.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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