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TROPICAL STORM IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
1500Z SAT OCT 06 2001
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA AND THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED
A HURRICANE WARNING FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA
...SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANAMO.  ALSO...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO LA BEATA...AND ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO ANSE D
HAINAULT.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE TO
BARAHONA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN CUBA FOR THE
PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  71.2W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  25SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  75SE  25SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  71.2W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  70.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  71.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 19.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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