ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM IRIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL AL1101 2100Z FRI OCT 05 2001 AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF HAITI FROM THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO TO THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI...ANSE D HAINAULT. ALSO...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE BARAHONA PENINSULA FROM BARAHONA TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI. AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR JAMAICA. IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO UPGRADE THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A HURRICANE WATCH TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA TO BARAHONA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 66.8W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 25SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 66.8W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 66.1W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.6N 69.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.2N 72.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 18.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 66.8W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 18.5N 78.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 19.5N 82.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z FORECASTER AVILA NNNN