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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1101
0900Z FRI OCT 05 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO RICO
AND PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA LATER TODAY.  INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN
AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  63.5W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  63.5W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  62.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 14.9N  65.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N  68.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.9N  70.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  25SW  25NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.0N  63.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 17.5N  73.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 18.5N  77.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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