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TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0801
1500Z WED SEP 12 2001
 
INTERESTS IN FLORIDA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  85.9W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  85.9W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N  85.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 25.8N  86.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 26.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.7N  85.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 28.0N  85.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 28.5N  83.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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