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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  51
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
0300Z SAT SEP 15 2001
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.0N  51.9W AT 15/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  26 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 300SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.0N  51.9W AT 15/0300Z
AT 15/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 46.7N  52.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 51.9N  49.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 57.4N  45.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.0N  51.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE 
FOUND IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE MARINE PREDICTION 
CENTER UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS NFDHSFAT1/FZNT01 KWBC.

FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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