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HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
0900Z FRI SEP 14 2001
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.5N  57.8W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  17 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 450SE 450SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.5N  57.8W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 42.0N  58.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 44.5N  55.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 48.5N  51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 300SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 53.5N  46.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 300SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.5N  57.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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