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HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
0300Z FRI SEP 14 2001
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N  58.8W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 450SE 450SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.1N  58.8W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.6N  59.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 42.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 175SE 175SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 45.7N  53.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 50.0N  49.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.1N  58.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 56.0N  43.4W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  75SE  50SW   0NW.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 250SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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