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HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
1500Z MON SEP 10 2001
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  64.8W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 175SE 120SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  64.8W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.0N  64.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 36.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 37.5N  64.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 38.2N  62.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.4N  64.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 39.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 130NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 41.5N  56.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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