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HURRICANE ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
2100Z SUN SEP 09 2001
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA IS CHANGED
TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  63.0W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 125SE 100SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.9N  63.0W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.4N  62.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 34.2N  64.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 35.6N  64.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 36.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.9N  63.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 37.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 39.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW  75NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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