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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
1500Z SAT SEP 08 2001
 
...COR TO INCREASE TO 12 FT SEAS.. 
AT 11 AM...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  59.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  50SE  50SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  59.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N  59.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 28.7N  60.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 30.5N  61.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N  59.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 33.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 35.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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